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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2015-10-22T03:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-10-22T03:12Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9539/-1
CME Note: Relatively faint partial halo CME associated with long duration C4.5 flare from AR2434.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-10-24T18:26Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-10-24T15:59Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 45.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.5
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.

Lead Time: -80714.50 hour(s)
Difference: 2.45 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z

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